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Saturday 23 November 2013

Value At Risk

Value at adventure My takeaways from what has been talked about regarding Value at Risk ( volt-ampere) argon many. Perhaps I should just repay to with the ones I consider most important and be as summary as possible. Id like to climb up by saying that; I believe the most traditional bankers bill of risk has always been volatility. However, its main problem is that it does non glide by any importance whatsoever to the committee of an investings movement. For investors, risk is about the odds of losing their invested money, and var is precisely base on that common sense fact. chthonic the obvious presumption that investors care about the odds of a considerable personnel casualty, VaR is there to answer their typical questions such(prenominal) as; what is the castigate eluding scenario? Or, how much could I abide in a bad month? VaR leave behind calculate the maximal loss expected (or the pommel case scenario) on an investment over a certain extent of time and low a specified degree of confidence. Moreover, I have gained a broader understanding of the three different methods for designing VaR. historic Method, Variance-Covariance Method, and monte Carlo simulation Method. What Ive learned from the Historical Method is; it reorganizes existing historical returns, and puts them in rewrite from worst to best, assuming that memorial will repeat itself.
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It is useful when the kernel of data is non genuinely large and we do not have profuse information about the profit and loss scattering. It is usually very time consuming, but its main receipts is that it catc hes all juvenile food market crashes. Rega! rding the Variance-Covariance Method, I go to it always assumes that stock returns are normally distributed, and that it basically requires us to estimate just ii factors (an average return and a standard deviation) which will genuinely allow us to maculation a normal distribution curve. It is also the fastest method. However, I also see it relies withal heavily on several(prenominal) assumptions about the distribution of market data. Regarding the Monte Carlo...If you want to get a full essay, order it on our website: OrderCustomPaper.com

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